Thursday, July 21, 2011

E&P Opportunities in Asia in 2011

There are 33 opportunities recorded and analysed in Derrick’s ‘Deals in Play’ database for the 2 previous years till date (July 2011). A sample of these opportunities is shown in the chart below.

Indonesia has the highest number of opportunities at 9 followed by the Philippines at 5, India and Myanmar at 4 each and Vietnam at 3. Pakistan has 2 opportunities and Bangladesh, Brunei, China, Lebanon, Malaysia and Sri Lanka have 1 each.

There is 1 corporate M&A and 18 exploration/ developing undeveloped discoveries opportunities. 1 opportunity is related to producing fields and 3 are related to fields under development. 9 opportunities are for new exploration awards by governments/ NOC’s and 1 opportunity involves a mix of asset types.

Table 1: Sample of E&P Opportunities available in Asia with sellers, country and year of announcement shown. Hover over squares for additional information. Click on squares to go to the deal sheet in the ‘Deals in Play’ database (Pop ups need to be allowed).



Derrick has valued 5 deals where valuation was possible (e.g., asset sales). The sellers here are
a.GeoGlobal Resources
b.Union Fenosa Gas
c.Hycarbex-American Energy
d.Inpex
e.ConocoPhillips
For further information click on the companies above.

For information about Derrick Petroleum Services ‘Deals in Play’ database write to sanjay.samuel@derrickpetroleum.com or sales@derrickpetroleum.com.

Shell opts out of Mackenzie Gas Project in Canada

Shell is looking to divest its interest in the Mackenzie Gas Project which consists of
      a. Development of one of 3 natural gas fields in the Mackenzie Delta region, and its production facilities, that is planned to be tied into the Mackenzie pipeline; Taglu (Imperial Resources Canada 100%), Parsons Lake (ConocoPhillips 75% and ExxonMobil 25%) and Niglintgak (Shell Canada 100%). Approximately 6 Tcf of natural gas has already been discovered in the three fields.
     b. A gathering pipeline system
     c. A gas processing facility near Inuvik (the Inuvik area facility)
     d. A natural gas liquids pipeline from the Inuvik area facility to Norman Wells
     e. A 11.4% stake in the long delayed, 1,196-kilometre natural gas pipeline from the Inuvik area facility to        northwestern Alberta.

The Niglintgak natural gas reservoir is located at the southern end of the Niglintgak Island in the Mackenzie Delta, about 120 km northwest of Inuvik and about 85 km west of Tuktoyaktuk. Niglintgak is held 100% by Shell Canada. The field holds 1 Tcf of gas, and according to regulatory filings, its development would cost C$800 million. Subject to regulatory approval, drilling activities could begin in the winter of 2011. Drilling is expected to take three winters. Based on this schedule, production of natural gas would begin in 2014. The estimated operational life of the Niglintgak field is estimated to be about 25 years.

Derrick values the upstream portion of the deal to be between $300 - $350 million. The 1 Tcf of recoverable reserves is valued at $1.8 - $2 /BOE. This metric is based on a similar deal in the region involving MGM Energy and KOGAS in Dec 2010, where the contingent resources of the Umiak SDL 131 field was valued @ $2/BOE. The gas from the Umiak field is also to be tied up with the Mackenzie Valley Pipeline.

The Mackenzie pipeline has hit many delays and questions are being raised about its economic viability, given the abundance of shale gas that is being developed in North America, high construction costs and low gas prices. However, the chief executive of Imperial Oil, the lead partner in the project, has affirmed that they are still committed to going forward with the pipeline project. It is planned that the pipeline will carry 1.2 bcf of gas daily. Shell says it wants to focus on other opportunities.

Buyers have until August 31 to make their bids.

Shell Canada also recently announced they are looking for a JV partner to develop its Nikanassin Play in its Chinook Asset in Canada’s Deep Basin.

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