Monday, May 16, 2011

Angola Oil - South West Africa's Next Crown Jewel


INTRODUCTION
Angola is a huge country present on the south-west coast of Africa, bordering the South Atlantic Ocean, between Namibia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. It was home to a 27 year civil war that is estimated to have cost the lives of up to 1.5 million people, and displaced a further 4 million. The war came to an end following the death of Jonas Savimbi, the leader of the National Union for the Total Independence of Angola (UNITA), in 2002. President Jose Eduardo Dos Santos, the leader of the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA), the main opponent against Savimbi, consolidated his hold on power and despite promising to hold presidential elections in 2009, has since managed to pass legislation to hold elections in 2012.

Figure 1: Map location of Angola. Modified from Google Earth.

Oil and gas exploration started in the early 1900’s, but it wasn’t till 1955 that the first onshore commercial discovery was made at the Benfica field in the Kwanza basin. In 1966, the first offshore commercial discovery was made at the Limba field in the Lower Congo Basin. There was restricted exploration activity onshore due to the civil war that engulfed the country for a quarter century, and exploration efforts were more focused offshore. Deepwater exploration commenced in 1993, and in 1996 the first deepwater commercial discovery, the Girassol field, was made at the Lower Congo Basin, in Block 17, by a consortium led by Total. In 1999 exploration moved to the ultra deepwater and the first commercial ultra deepwater discovery, the Plutao field, was made in 2002 in the Lower Congo Basin.

GEOLOGICAL BACKGROUND
Angola has three main sedimentary basins; the Kwanza, Namibe and Congo basins. Although all three basins have the pre-requisites for hosting hydrocarbons, only the Congo and Kwanza basins have so far yielded them in commercial quantities. Most of the exploratory success has come from the northern portion of Angola, where it seems the geology has favoured the northern blocks. One noteworthy example is Block 0 that lies offshore the Cabinda province, to the immediate north of the Congo river. Chevron operates Block 0 which provides about 20% of Angola's crude oil production. The mighty Congo river deposited huge amounts of sediment in the area along with vegetative matter that eventually turned into oil over geological time, increasing oil concentrations in this area. The block is divided into Areas A and B and together they contain 21 fields whose total production in 2010 was 365,000 boepd. Exploration in the southern blocks ceased after non discoveries in blocks 9, 21, 22 and 25 located offshore of southern Luanda. However, geologists in Sonangol, the concession holder and national oil company of Angola, are keen to begin comprehensive surveys of blocks in the Namibe Basin, which they believe has untapped resources.
Figure 2: Sedimentary Basins of Angola. Source, Ministry of Petroleum, Angola.

RESERVES AND PRODUCTION
Angola is an oil-dependent state with oil production and its supporting activities contributing about 85% of GDP. Angola has maintained a high growth rate of ~8% over the last 8 years due in large part to oil exports. In 2009 Angola became the leading producer of crude oil in Africa, overtaking Nigeria which experienced extreme sectarian violence and attacks on oil infrastructure. However, at the beginning of 2010, based on EIA data, Nigeria had the highest reserves in Africa, at 37.2 bboe. According to the BP statistical review, Angola’s proved reserves at the end of 2009 were 13.5 bboe and production at the end of the same year was 1.7 mmboe/d. This was up from 0.7 mmboe/d in 1990. The oil minister of Angola has put the reserves as on Dec 2009 at 13.1 billion barrels. Exploration has mainly focused offshore due in a large part to the civil war that divided the country. However, the northern city of Soyo and the disputed Cabinda Province are also host to some proven oil reserves. Angola became a member of OPEC in 2007. According to the EIA, Angola produced 1.82 mmboepd making it the largest crude oil producer in Africa and placing it seventh among OPEC members. Angola has had increasing production capacity from earlier discovered fields coming online but despite this, Angola maintained output at approximately 200,000 bbl/d below capacity, as a response to OPEC’s most recent production allocation. In the first quarter of 2011, EIA estimated Angola supplied 1.7 mmboe/d, which again placed it second behind Nigeria at 2.13 mmboe/d in African crude supply.

Figure 3 – Opec production for Q1 2011. Source: EIA short term outlook, May 10, 2011. Graph, Derrick Petroleum Services.

EXPLORATION
Angola, home to the 3rd largest proved reserves in Africa after Libya and Nigeria, has had its fair share of exploration, mostly focused offshore and in the deep offshore. The turning-point in the history of oil exploration and production in Angola came about with the commercial discoveries in the deep waters of Block 17 and neighboring Blocks 14, 15 and 16. In 1996 when the reserves of Girassol were discovered in deep water on Block 17, Angola went from being a solid but average oil producing country to a hotspot in the global search for major oil reserves. Oil exploration and production in Angola mainly occurs in the offshore blocks, which are divided into 3 bands; Blocks 0 – 13 are shallow water blocks (Band A); Blocks 14 – 30 are deepwater blocks (Band B); and Blocks 31 – 40 consitute the ultra-deepwater blocks. Angola is also planning to throw up new blocks for exploration in 2011, after deliberation on the terms governing access to its highly prized pre-salt blocks. The pre-salt in Angola is thought widely to be analogues to the pre-salt in Brazils offshore basins which has had many substantial discoveries. Due to the fact that the South American and African continent were joined together in the geological past, many experts now believe that the pre-salt in Angola has potential to host huge reserves of hydrocarbons. In addition, the salt in Angola occurs both onshore and offshore, in contrast to the salt in Brazil which only occurs offshore.

Onshore exploration has been stymied due to the long civil war in the country. The Cabinda province was the site of most onshore exploratory efforts which were halted during the civil war.  At this time the only basin in operation is the Lower Congo, in the onshore area of the Congo River, also known as the Soyo area. However, Angola is now planning new improved policies to tap into its onshore resources and to create a positive atmosphere for drilling onshore.

EXPLORATORY WELLS IN 2011
Unless stated otherwise all data below is from the Derrick Petroleum- Planned Exploration Wells Database. According to this database, updated daily, there are a number of wells planned to be drilled in 2011. 25 wells over 10 blocks are scheduled to be drilled, with most exploratory drilling occurring offshore. 16 of these wells are in the deep offshore with the rest in the shallow offshore. The operators in these blocks are BP, ENI, Sonangol, Vaalco Energy, Petrobras, Maersk Oil, Cobalt International, Chevron, Pluspetrol and Total.

Table 1: Table showing companies planning exploratory drilling in 2011 and beyond. The number of columns has been minimized to fit the table on the page. The actual database has many more parameters listed and recorded. Source, Derrick Petroleum- Planned Exploration Wells Database.

Block 15/06
Eni has a 35% working interest and is the Operator in Block 15/06, while Sonangol E&P is the Concessionaire. The other partners of the Contractor Group are Sonangol Pesquisa e Produção (15%), SSI Fifteen Limited (20%), Total (15%), Falcon Oil Holding Angola SA (5%), Petrobras International Braspetro B.V. (5%) and Statoil Angola Block 15/06 Award AS (5%). Six discoveries have been made in the block so far; Sangos, N'Goma, Cabaça Norte-1, Nzanza-1,Cinguvu-1 and Cabaça south east. There are no more exploration wells to be drilled as the consortium is now planning development of discoveries.

Angola LNG II Upstream
Angola LNG II is a joint venture composed of Sonagas (22.8%), Chevron (36.4%), Eni (13.6%), Total (13.6%) and BP (13.6%) that will evaluate existing gas discoveries and explore further potential in the Angolan offshore, with the objective of supporting the feasibility of a second LNG train. The consortium plans to carry out a 3D seismic survey and drill 1 exploration well on the Angola LNG II area in 2011.

Block 5
Interoil is a 40% participant in Block 5, where Vaalco Energy Inc. is operator with an equal interest. Sonangol P&P (national oil company of the Republic of Angola) is also a partner with an interest of 20%. Block 5 is 5708 sq kms and is located in the Kwanza basin in the northern waters, offshore Angola. 95% of the block has a water depth of less then 200 mts. Three prospects, Kindele, Loengo and Jack have been mapped on the block. The gross mean unrisked resource potentials for these prospects are estimated to be 41, 93 and 41 mmboe respectively. The operator plans to drill atleast two prospects out of the three in 2011 and the third one in 2012.

Block 6
In Block 6 Interoil is participating with 20%, where Petrobras is operator with an interest of 40% and Sonangol, Initial Oil & Gas and Falcon Oil are partners with a total interest of 40%. Block 6 covers an area of 4930 sq km and is located in the northern area of Kwanza Basin offshore Angola. The water depth ranges from 50 to 500 m. 8 wells were drilled by the previous owners, which resulted in 2 heavy oil discoveries. The largest of these discoveries is the Cegonha heavy oil field. Petrobras is planning to drill 11 wells on its 3 operated blocks in Angola. Assuming 8 wells drilled on the other 2 blocks, 3 wells are expected to be drilled in this block in 2011.

Blocks 18/06 and Block 26.
The consortium plans to drill 8 wells on these blocks in Angola in 2011. The ownership structure of these two blocks is given below.

Figure 4: Ownership Structure for Block 18/06 and Block 26. Source Derrick Petroleum

Block 16
Maersk Oil operates the block with a 65% interest. Sonangol (20%) and Odebrecht (15%) are partners. Block 16 lies 100 km offshore Angola in water depths ranging from 200 m to 1500 m. Wildcat wells targeting the Omba and Caiundo prospects are scheduled to be drilled in 2011.

Blocks 9 & 21
Block 9 (4000 sq km) is located offshore Benguela Basin and in water depths that range between 50 to 1,000 meters. The block has oil potential of 400 MMBO (25-28 degree API). Prospects are scheduled to be drilled in late 2012. Block 21 (4,900 sq km) is located in the deep-water offshore south-central Kwanza Basin, some 200 Km southwest of Luanda. The water depth of the block is 300 to 1,600 m. Two prospects, Bicuar and Cameia, are scheduled to be drilled in 2011.

Block 0
Chevron operates this block with a 39.2% interest. Other partners are Sonangol (41%), Total (10%) and Agip (9.8%). The block is divided into Areas A and B. Together they contain 21 fields whose total production in 2010 was 365,000 barrels of liquids per day. According to Chevron two exploration wells are planned to be drilled on the block in 2011.

Block 8
Maersk Oil is the operator of the block with a 50% interest. The other partners are Svenska Petroleum (30%) and Sonangol (20%). Block 8 is situated along the early Cretaceous pre-salt lacustrine rift trend. It starts at the beach of the Kwanza and extends westwards, with water depth ranging from the very coastline to 600 metres. A well is scheduled to be drilled in 2011.

Block 23
Maersk Oil is the operator of the block with a 50% interest. The other partners are Svenska Petroleum (30%) and Sonangol (20%). Located in the deepwater Aptian salt basin trend, both pre- and post-salt petroleum systems have been identified. A well is planned to be drilled in 2011.

Block 17/06
Deep offshore Block 17, is operated by Total with a 40% interest and is Total’s principal asset in Angola. It is composed of four major zones: Girassol-Rosa and Dalia, which are currently producing. The other partners are Sonangol (30%), Sonangol Sinopec International (SSI) Seventeen Limited (27.5%), ACREP Bloco 17 S.A. (5%), Falcon Oil Holding Angola S.A. (5%) and PARTEX Oil and Gas (Holdings) Corporation (2.5%). The consortium drilled the Canna-1 well in 2011 which discovered hydrocarbons in a reservoir of Miocene age and produced more than 5,000 barrels per day of high quality oil (33° API) during a production test.

FUTURE
The industry is getting increasingly excited about the prospects in the pre-salt region. So far, all indications are that the pre-salt in Angola is analogous in hydrocarbon bearing potential to the pre-salt regions of Brazil which host substantial reserves. The government of Angola is still mooting production sharing agreements for the pre-salt regions, and once this is done, new pre-salt blocks will be up for grabs. All indications are that exploration activity is bound to increase in Angola. Angola looks set to maintain its high production into the future and, if exploratory success comes from ongoing and future exploration, the country just might topple Nigeria in terms of production and reserves.

For a list of West African oil discoveries in 2010 - 2011 click here




4 comments:

  1. I like this presentation. I think the two countries showing production of Iran, one should be Iraq. You may like to correct it.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Prem, thanks for your comment.. However, Im not sure which blog you are commenting on?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Your article is quite instructive! Thanks for sharing it. I thought you could consider reviewing the title to Angola- Africa's Next Crown Jewel. Moreover, Angola is a county in South-Central Africa. Cheers.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi John, thanks for your comment, I did want to remove the West in the title, but in my opinion Angola still lies on the west coast of Africa, although more correctly in the south-west.

    ReplyDelete

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