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Thursday, June 23, 2011

Falkland Islands Oil and Gas Exploration in 2011 & 2012

The first exploratory drilling occurred in 1998 in a single drilling campaign when 6 wells were drilled. 5 of the wells had oil and/or gas shows, with one well flowing oil to the surface. The deposits were small and not commercial, and given the low price of oil prevailing then, no further drilling was undertaken. However, various estimates of volumes of oil that lie in the area have been made, with some sources saying about 60 billion barrels lie in the area. These potential huge undiscovered volumes have managed to keep some companies, albeit relatively smaller, interested in the area.
         

Well
Operator
Trap
Comment
14/5-1
Shell
Structural - valid
Gas discovery
14/9-1
Amerada
Structural - valid
Oil shows
14/9-2
Amerada
Structural - uncertain closure
Oil shows
14/10-1
Shell
Structural - valid
Recovered oil to surface
14/13-1
Lasmo
Structural - valid
Dry
14/24-1
Lundin
Structural - invalid
Oil & Gas shows
Table 1: Summary of results of the 6 exploratory wells drilled in 1998.

Enter Sea Lion!
Rockhopper, the company that holds exploratory acreage around the Falkland Islands, drilled the Sea Lion discovery well during April and May 2010. The well discovered 53 m of net oil pay in multiple zones of good sands and was flow-tested at over 2300 barrels of oil per day under restricted testing conditions. This was the first proper oil discovery and apart from pushing up Rockhopper’s share price considerably, it also significantly de’risked the area. After very positive appraisal drilling, plans are currently to test the well, and also drill another appraisal well. The 2nd appraisal well (
14/10-5) reportedly flowed at commercially viable rates. Further appraisal drilling is being progressed over the coming months to continue to define the extent of the Sea Lion resource. It is highly likely that this discovery will be commercial, and if so will herald a new chapter in the Islas Malvinas history.

At present there are 5 operators actively involved in exploration in the islands. These companies are:

A. Falkland Oil and Gas Ltd: Falkland Oil and Gas Limited (FOGL) is an AIM-listed oil and gas exploration company operating in the South and East Falkland Basins.

B. Desire Petroleum Plc: Desire Petroleum plc (Desire) is a UK company listed on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) dedicated to exploring for oil and gas in the North Falkland Basin.

C. Rockhopper Exploration: Rockhopper Exploration ("Rockhopper") (AIM: RKH) is an AIM listed oil and gas exploration company based in the United Kingdom. Rockhopper has licences to explore for oil and gas in the North Falkland Basin

D. Argos Resources Ltd: Argos Resources Ltd is a quoted oil and gas exploration Company based in the Falkland Islands. The Company's principal asset is a 100 percent interest in Production Licence PL001 covering an area of approximately 1,126 square kilometres in the North Falkland Basin. 

E. Borders and Southern Petroleum: Borders & Southern is a UK-based, London Stock Exchange (AIM) listed company. It holds a 100% interest and operatorship in five Production Licences covering an area of nearly 20,000 sq km.

Who’s drilling and When?

Block/ Prospect Name
Operator
Wells planned in 2010
Wells planned in 2011
Wells planned in 2012+
FOGL - Falkland Islands Northern Licences
Falkland Oil and Gas Limited


2
FOGL - Falkland Islands Southern Licences
Falkland Oil and Gas Limited


1
Alpha
Desire Petroleum Plc
 1

Dawn
Desire Petroleum Plc
1


Liz
Desire Petroleum Plc
1


Ann
Desire Petroleum Plc
1


Ninky
Desire Petroleum Plc

1

Rockhopper Falkland Islands Exploration
Rockhopper Exploration plc
2
2
2
Borders & Southern - South Falkland Basin
Borders & Southern Petroleum Plc

2

PL 001
Argos Resources

1
1
Table 1: Companies looking to drill exploratory wells in the Falkland Islands in 2011 and 2012. Also listed are wells that these companies drilled in 2010. Source:  Derrick Petroleum Planned Exploration Wells Database


FOGL - Falkland Islands Northern Licences
Falkland Oil and Gas Ltd. (FOGL) holds interests in 7 exploration and production licences in the northern region (collectively called Northern Licences) and is the designated operator. The production licences cover ~ 50,000 sq km and are located in water depths ranging from approximately 200 m to 2,000 m. The licences contain many prospects which include the Loligo, Nimrod, Hersilia and Endeavour prospects. The Lologo prospect is scheduled to be drilled in Q1 2012, and possibly other prospects will be drilled depending on FOGL's ability to farm out and acquire funding.

FOGL Falkland Island Licences. Source: FOGL

FOGL - Falkland Islands Southern Licences
The southern licences lie offshore the Falkland Islands, in water depths ranging from ~ 200 to 2,000 m. The Toroa-1 well was spud on June 1st, 2010, but was dry. It was plugged and abandoned. FOGL’s top ranked prospects in the southern licences are Vinson, Diomedea, Thulla, Inflexible Undine and Lutra. The work obligation for Phase II, which the company is currently in, is the drilling of one well before December 2015, which the company intends to do. FOGL holds a 100% interest in the licences.

Alpha Prospect
The Alpha prospect lies in PL034 in North Falkland Basin offshore Falkland Islands in water depths of 145 m. Midsize estimates of recoverable resources are 7,800 BCF. The licence is currently in phase 1 which requires the drilling of a well by August 2012. So far, Desire Petroleum has not indicated when it plans to drill the well. Desire Petroleum holds 30% interest and is the operator which Arcadia Petroleum holds 70%.
 Desire Petroleum’s acreage in the Falkland Islands. Source: Desire Petroleum

Dawn/ Jacinta Prospects
 Desire Petroleum spud the Dawn/Jacinta 25/5-1 well in Tranche 1 in the North Falkland Basin in Dec 2010 targeting 2 levels; the Jacinta prospect, a lower Cretaceous stratigraphic sand pinch out trap with a targeted depth of around 3,281 feet (1,000 meters), and the Dawn prospect, a 3-way dip, fault bonded closure with a targeted depth of around 4,429 feet. The well encountered minor gas shows and was plugged and abandoned. Desire Petroleum holds a 100% interest in this licence (Tranche 1)

Liz Prospect
The Liz prospect lies in 350m of water offshore Falkland Islands in Tranche C. An exploration well was spudded on the prospect on February 22, 2010. The well encountered 17 metres of net hydrocarbon pay were encountered between 2961 and 3031 metres within a zone of over-pressured, predominantly sandstone, reservoir. The primary and secondary targets had hydrocarbon shows but reservoir quality in both was poor and was in complex stratigraphic traps. As on Feb 2011, the company is reprocessing 3D seismic over the Liz prospect and also plans to shoot more 3D around the prospect to define volumetrics. Desire Petroleum (92.5%) is operator and Rockhopper Exploration (7.5%) is partner.

Ann
The Ann prospect lies in PL 003 Tranche C Ann sub-area in 400m of water. The consortium was planning to spud a well in 2010. However, pending further announcements, it is unlikely this prospect will be drilled in 2011. Desire Petroleum (57.5) is the operator and the partners are Rockhopper Exploration (7.5%) and Arcadia Petroleum (35%).

Ninky Prospect
The Ninky prospect is located in Tranche D license area, North Falkland Islands. The company drilled the well 14/15-3 on the Ninky prospect which reached a total depth of 2,620 m in the Barremian source rock interval on 18 Apr 2011. The well failed to establish commercial quantities of hydrocarbons and will be plugged and abandoned. Desire Petroleum (92.5%) is operator and Rockhopper Exploration (7.5%) is partner.

Rockhopper Falkland Islands Exploration
Rockhopper Group has 100% of 4 licences in the North Falkland Basin, PL023, PL024, PL032 and PL033, between them covering an area of ~ 3800 sq. km. The Ernest prospect identified on the blocks was drilled in July 2010. However, the well did not encounter any hydrocarbons and was plugged and abandoned. On April 16, 2010 the Company spudded an exploration well Sea Lion 14/10-B on the Sea Lion prospect in PL032 which encountered oil. After very positive appraisal drilling, plans are currently to test the well, and also drill another appraisal well. As on 14 March 2011, a wider seismic acquisition programme, over areas of licences PL024, PL032 and PL033 and adjacent areas, is ongoing, and the company has secured four firm additional well slots and plans to drill in PL 032 in the near future.

Rockhopper’s Falkland Licences. Source: Rockhopper Exploration

Borders & Southern Petroleum- South Falkland Basin Exploration
Borders & Southern Petroleum holds a 100% equity interest and operatorship in five Production Licences covering an area of nearly 20,000 sq km in the South Falkland Basin. The Company has acquired and evaluated 2,862 km of 2D seismic and 1,492 sq km of 3D seismic survey over the area. Two prospects, Stebbing and Darwin, are planned to be drilled in Q4 2011 by the Eirik Raude rig.
Borders and Southern’s Licence shown in Purple. Source: Borders and Southern Petroleum.


PL 001
Production License 001 is located in the North Falkland Basin, offshore Falkland Islands and occupies an area of about 1,126 sq km. Argos Resources has completed 2D seismic survey over the license and based on the report about seven prospects and five leads have identified. The Company carried out a 1,415 sq kms of 3D seismic data aquisition in 2011 and plans to drill exploration wells in late 2011 or early 2012. Argos holds 100% interest in the licence.
Map of Argos licences in the Falkland Islands. Source: Argos Resources Ltd.

For more presentations on "Falkland Islands", use our oil and gas document library:

Wednesday, June 22, 2011

Encana/Petrochina Montney JV collapses. Encana in the hunt for new JV partners

Encana is looking for new partners to develop its Cutbank Ridge assets following the collapse of its C$5.4 billion deal with PetroChina. The companies were unable to achieve substantial alignment with respect to key elements of the proposed transaction, including the joint operating agreement.

The assets in the terminated JV included the majority of Encana’s Montney, Cadomin and other natural gas assets, on a portion of the company’s British Columbia and Alberta lands. According to Encana, the Cutbank Ridge assets hold reserves of: Proved-1.8 Tcfe, Probable-0.6 Tcfe and Possible- 0.4 Tcfe; and Contingent resources of 3.1 Tcfe, on a best estimate case.


Foreigners’ invasion into Montney Shale:
The Encana-PetroChina JV was the largest amongst several recent deals in the Canadian Shales. Following are the few snippets of the other significant Montney deals:
  • In early June 2011, Petronas agreed to form a Montney JV with Progress Energy Resources, to develop the Altares, Lily and Kahta shale gas assets in north-eastern British Columbia and acquire 50% of Progress’ interest in the three areas, for a total consideration of C$1,070 million.
  • Recently, Talisman clinched back-to-back Montney JVs with Sasol. In December 2010, Sasol agreed with Talisman to acquire a 50% interest in the Farrell Creek assets located in the Montney basin for C$1,050 million. In March 2011, Sasol agreed with Talisman to acquire a 50% interest in Cypress A acreage, located in the Montney basin for C$1,050 million.
  • In early 2010, Kogas agreed with Encana to spend C$565 million over three years to explore new shale gas reservoirs in largely undeveloped areas of Encana's land, in the Horn River and Montney formations.
This is an interactive chart to compare the Montney deals since 2007.


To see what other operators are reporting on "Montney", use our oil and gas document library:


Other divestiture/JV plans from Encana
In April 2011, Encana announced plans seeking investors in two joint ventures on Encana assets outside Cutbank Ridge in northeast British Columbia – one on undeveloped Horn River shale lands and the other in the company’s Greater Sierra resource play. Discussions are well underway on these potential transactions, as well as on a potential divestiture of producing assets in the northern portion of Greater Sierra. Encana expects that these transactions, plus other divestitures and joint venture pursuits that the company has initiated, will generate proceeds and joint venture investments in 2011, of between $1 billion and $2 billion, a level that exceeds Encana’s net divestiture target of $500 million to $1 billion for 2011.

Potential buyers of Encana’s assets
The termination of this Encana-Petrochina JV opens doors for other companies who are interested in shale gas. These companies could be ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips and other Asian investors like Kogas, Mitsui, Mitsubishi, CNPC, CNOOC, etc.

Source Documents


Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Statoil Eyes $32 Billion Investment over the next two years; Plans to increase production to above 2.5 mmboepd over the next 10 years


Norwegian oil giant Statoil ASA will spend $32 billion on exploration and production over the next two years as it aims to ramp up production to above 2.5 mmboepd over the next decade. Statoil, which produces about 80 percent of Norway’s oil and gas, is expanding abroad to maintain output and boost reserves amid dwindling production from aging North Sea fields. The company plans to double oil output in Brazil in less than a decade, and is seeking to add to its portfolio.

In addition to continued focus on production from operations on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCF), Statoil said the increased output will come through strengthened positions in the Gulf of Mexico, Brazil, Angola, the Caspian region and Arctic Sea, while also stepping up production of shale gas and liquids. "The NCF remains a very attractive and globally competitive province for future oil and gas activities," said, Statoil Chief Executive, Helge Lund.


As well as conventional oil and gas operations, Statoil is developing the Eagle Ford shale field in southwestern Texas through a joint venture with Talisman Energy Inc. and the Marcellus shale region together with Chesapeake, which includes northern West Virginia across Pennsylvania and parts of New York.

View the Eagle Ford Shale deal snapshot here:











Source: The Derrick E&P Transactions Database
Growing Market:
Statoil will “benefit from our strong gas position in a growing gas market,” said Lund. Oil and gas from sites along the Norwegian coast will account for about 1.4 million barrels of oil equivalent a day in 2020, the company estimated. The international portfolio, which will also include non-Norwegian Arctic sites and the Caspian region, is forecast to produce about 1.1 million barrels of oil a day, Statoil said.

The company will spend $16 billion on exploration, drilling and production in 2012, on par with what it will spent in 2011. Statoil expects to drill 20 to 25 high-impact wells in the years 2011 to 2013.

The company in February 2011 forecast output will grow on average 3 percent in each of the next two years, to about 2 million barrels of oil equivalent a day, below a former target of 2.06 million to 2.16 million barrels. "The positive is that they are announcing growth internationally to 1.1 million barrels in 2020, and they are quite specific about that, given that they haven't quite delivered recently," said Trond Omdal, an analyst at Arctic Securities.

Exploration would be about $3 billion this year, up from about $2.5 billion in 2010 when the company trimmed spending in the wake of the global financial crisis, Tim Dodson, head of the company's exploration arm, told Reuters.

Reserves have been in decline, with a replacement ratio of just 87 percent in 2010 and 73 percent in 2009. Oil and gas production in Norway, which accounts for about half of the company's total output, is expected to be above 1.4 million boed in 2020, the level it produced in 2010.

Statoil's Exploration Portfolio for 2011 and 2012:




Source Documents:

Hupecol to divest La Cuerva interest

Scotia Waterous (USA) Inc has been retained as exclusive financial advisor by Hupecol to explore alternatives to optimize the company’s portfolio, including the divestment of Hupecol’s interest in the La Cuerva block in Colombia’s Llanos Basin.  

Highlights of the Offering:
1) La Cuerva block in the Eastern portion of the Llanos Basin consisting of ~47,950 gross acres
  • 100% WI, and operated by Hupecol
  • Contract consists of an 8% royalty
  • Contract does not contain over-rides or preferential rights; all obligations have been met
2) Opportunity to acquire current production with significant exploration and development upside
  • Production of approximately 2,900 bbl/day (June 2011)
  • Targeted reservoirs, typically in the Carbonera C3/C5/C7 reservoirs found between 3,500 and 4,500 ft TVD, have excellent production characteristics
3) Net 2P reserves of more than 16.3 MMboe certified by third-party reserve engineers Petrotech with a PV-10% of  approximately US$435 million based on a 3/31/2011 effective date 
  • Proved: 6.1 MMbbl oil (47% proved developed); probable and possible: 13.8 MMbbl; 3.7 MMbbl of prospective resources identified
  • Widespread 3-D seismic coverage over reservoirs of excellent quality

PROPOSALS DUE: August 11, 2011


Recent deals in Colombia and valuation of La Cuerva block




The value of the La Cuerva block is estimated to be $200-$430 million, based on
  • $18-$22/2P BOE, a close comparable to the Hupecol-Sinopec deal where the 2P metric was $25/BOE. The Hupecol-Sinopec metric is discounted to account for the difference in RLI of  La Cuerva block (15 years) and Hupecol-Sinopec assets (6 years). With $18-$22/2P BOE, the value of the asset is $290-$360 million.
  • $70,000/Daily BOE for the current production of 2,900 bbl/day and thereby the value of the asset to be $200 million.
  • 2P-NPV10 of $435 million, as reported in Scotia's marketing flyer.


To see what other operators are reporting about "Llanos Basin", use our oil and gas document library:

Other opportunities available in Colombia
There are currently three other asset packages in Colombia that are available for sale. The packages are offered by InterOil and Alange Energy. The snapshots of the packages are as follows- 





Source Documents:

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