67 Unconventional Assets for Sale as of July 2011

There are many unconventional packages put up for sale, with most in the US or Canada. Given the flurry of unconventional deal activity recently, it wouldn’t be surprising if unconventional deal volumes and values reach record highs this year.

Jack Williams, president of the Irving, Texas-based ExxonMobil's XTO unit, which was acquired by ExxonMobil in June 2010, says that Exxon is looking to expand its shale gas holdings in more than a dozen gas-rich shale-rock formations worldwide. Exxon is also getting active internationally, starting hydraulic fracturing on formations in Poland this year and last week agreeing with China Petrochemical Corp. to jointly assess the resource’s potential in China. Although gas prices have been relatively low, Exxon is reportedly pleased with the returns they’re seeing with production from their unconventional assets, and particularly XTO’s assets.

This announcement by Exxon comes on the back of a series of multi-billion dollar deals involving unconventional (shale) transactions. Last week, BHP Billiton agreed to acquire Petrohawk Energy for $12.1 billion to expand its shale gas holdings in the US. Since June 1, companies including Exxon, Marathon Oil Corp. and Malaysia’s Petroliam Nasional Bhd have announced at least $7 billion worth of North American shale-gas deals.

The following table shows unconventional opportunities for sale recorded in Derrick’s “Deals in Play’ database, part of Derrick’s ‘E&P transactions’ database

Table 1: Unconventional opportunities available in US and Canada as of July 2011. Click on squares to get to the detailed deal sheet. Source: Derrick Petroleum Services. *HRB = Horn River Basin.
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There are currently 67 unconventional oil and gas packages for sale in the market. The majority of these packages are located in the USA (46) and most of them are either for unconventional oil (21) or unconventional gas (21). A large number of packages are for investments in undeveloped discoveries (30) and for investments in fields under development (20). Eagle Ford Shale has the most number of opportunities at 12 followed by the Marcellus Shale at 7. Most packages are related to selling undeveloped acreage (36), followed by Joint Venture related opportunities (17)

      

Shell Canada Seeks JV Partner to Develop its Canadian Deep Basin Nikanassin Play in its Chinook Asset

Main Features

a.       Shell Canada is seeking a JV partner to develop its Nikanassin Play in its Chinook Asset and has engaged TD securities as its exclusive financial advisor.

b.      Offering 25 – 50% equity in its lands to JV partner.

c.       Seeking cash with a capital component.

d.      Level of carry is a function of term and working interest acquired.

e.      Term is anticipated to be 3-5 years.

Figure 1: Map location of the Chinook Asset. Source, TD Securities.

Chinook Asset Summary

a.       Located in Deep Basin of Western Canada (See Figure 1)

b.      Average Shell working interest is ~ 90%

c.       Area covers ~ 102,000 mostly undeveloped gross acres

d.      Resource potential is large with 12 Tcf OGIP with Shell estimated recoverable resource > 4Tcf

e.      Shell has invested in infrastructure and facilities  resulting in lower operating costs (as low as $0.55/Mcf)

f.        Currently producing ~ 35 MMcf/d with plans to ramp up to 150 MMcf/d by 2015 and possibly 250 MMcf/d or higher.

Nikanassin Formation Summary

a.       Present across the deep basin with gas trapped in stratigraphic and structural settings.

b.      Thick, stacked siltstone – sandstone reservoir sequence

c.       OGIP of 60 – 80 Bcf/ Section is higher than all other area formations 

Nikanassin compared to other North American shales by TD (Broker)

Figure 2: Comparison of various parameters between the Nikanassin and other similar unconventional plays. Source, TD Securities. 

Benefits for JV partner

a.       Shell is a major player with extensive capabilities and experience in unconventional plays.

b.      Reduced drilling costs by 50%

c.       50% reduction in drilling time

d.      40% reduction in completion costs

e.      Prior investment capital has already flowed into project.

Shells Current Activity at Chinook Asset

a.       Drilled three horizontal wells in Q4-2010, all tied in and initially producing > 5 mmcf/d

b.      Completed drilling first syncline well in Q1-2011 (Figure 3) which is awaiting completion and tie-in Q2-2011

c.       Plans to drill second syncline well and four development wells in remainder of 2011

Figure 3: Subdivision of the Nikanassin play according to Shell. Source, TD Securities. 

Recent activity by other operators

Source, TD Securities. 

Analyst Comments

Derrick estimates the value of this deal to be between $25 - $100 million assuming a 50% JV based on acreage metrics from the June 2011 activity land sales published by the Canadian government.